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The Resource Lost in a Gallup : polling failure in U.S. presidential elections, W. Joseph Campbell

Lost in a Gallup : polling failure in U.S. presidential elections, W. Joseph Campbell

Label
Lost in a Gallup : polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
Title
Lost in a Gallup
Title remainder
polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
Statement of responsibility
W. Joseph Campbell
Creator
Author
Subject
Genre
Language
eng
Summary
"Donald Trump's unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election brought sweeping criticism of election polls and poll-based statistical forecasts, which had signaled that Hillary Clinton would win the White House. Surprise ran deep in 2016, but it was not unprecedented. Lost in a Gallup examines in lively and engaging fashion the history of polling flops, epic upsets, unforeseen landslides, and exit poll fiascoes in American presidential elections. Drawing on archival sources, W. Joseph Campbell presents insights on notable pollsters of the past, including George Gallup, Elmo Roper, Archibald Crossley, Warren Mitofsky, and Louis Harris. The story is one of media failure, too, as journalists invariably take their lead from polls in crafting campaign narratives. Lost in a Gallup describes how numerous prominent journalists-including Edward R. Murrow, Jimmy Breslin, Mike Royko, Christopher Hitchens, and Haynes Johnson-were outspoken poll-bashers and critics. In assessing polling's messy, uneven, and controversial past, Campbell emphasizes that although election polls are not always wrong, their inherent drawbacks invite skepticism and wariness. Readers will come away better prepared to weigh the efficacy and value of pre-election polls in presidential races, the most important and highly anticipated of all American elections"--
Assigning source
Provided by publisher
Cataloging source
CU-S/DLC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Campbell, W. Joseph
Dewey number
324.973
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
index present
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Presidents
  • Elections
  • Voting
  • Press and politics
  • Political campaigns
  • Presidential candidates
  • United States
  • Elections
  • Political campaigns
  • Politics and government
  • Presidential candidates
  • Presidents
  • Press and politics
  • Voting
  • United States
Label
Lost in a Gallup : polling failure in U.S. presidential elections, W. Joseph Campbell
Instantiates
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Contents
Introduction : of pollsters, journalists, and presidential elections -- Of poll-bashing journalists and the 'Babe Ruth' of survey research -- 'A time of polls gone mad' : the literary digest debacle of 1936 -- 'The defeat of the pollsters' : the epic fail of 1948 -- A tie 'would suit them fine' : the 1952 landslide pollsters did not foresee -- The 'close race that never happened' : miscalling the 1980 election -- 'Television's version of "Dewey defeats Truman" ' : the trifecta of 2000 -- 'President Kerry' : exit polls misfire in 2004 -- 'Gallup vs. the world' : pointing the wrong way in 2012 -- 'The night that wasn't supposed to happen' : the shock election of 2016 -- Conclusion : will it happen again?
Control code
on1142917088
Dimensions
24 cm.
Extent
xv, 318 pages
Isbn
9780520300965
Lccn
2020017894
Other physical details
illustrations
System control number
(OCoLC)1142917088
Label
Lost in a Gallup : polling failure in U.S. presidential elections, W. Joseph Campbell
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Contents
Introduction : of pollsters, journalists, and presidential elections -- Of poll-bashing journalists and the 'Babe Ruth' of survey research -- 'A time of polls gone mad' : the literary digest debacle of 1936 -- 'The defeat of the pollsters' : the epic fail of 1948 -- A tie 'would suit them fine' : the 1952 landslide pollsters did not foresee -- The 'close race that never happened' : miscalling the 1980 election -- 'Television's version of "Dewey defeats Truman" ' : the trifecta of 2000 -- 'President Kerry' : exit polls misfire in 2004 -- 'Gallup vs. the world' : pointing the wrong way in 2012 -- 'The night that wasn't supposed to happen' : the shock election of 2016 -- Conclusion : will it happen again?
Control code
on1142917088
Dimensions
24 cm.
Extent
xv, 318 pages
Isbn
9780520300965
Lccn
2020017894
Other physical details
illustrations
System control number
(OCoLC)1142917088

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